Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Congo DR had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Congo DR win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.