World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 1st Leg

Mar 25, 2022 at 3pm UK

Congo DR
1 - 1
Morocco

(Morocco win 5-2 on aggregate)

Wissa (12')
Muzinga (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tissoudali (76')
Aguerd (15'), Mmaee (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Congo DR and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

Last Six:

Last Game: Sudan 2-1 Congo DR
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Congo DR vs. Mauritania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Morocco

Last Six:

Last Game: USA 3-0 Morocco
Thursday, June 2 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Morocco vs. South Africa
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Congo DR had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Congo DR win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Morocco
35.7%	26.62%	37.68%

Both teams to score 52.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19%

52.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56%

74.43%

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.62%

28.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.88%

64.12%

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8%

27.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38%

62.62%

Score Analysis

Congo DR 35.7%

Morocco 37.68%

Draw 26.61%

Congo DR	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.7%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.68%