Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 8, 2022 at 8pm UK

Al-Hilal Stadium

Sudan
2 - 1
Congo DR

Bakhet Hamid (16'), Abdel Rahman (86')
Kamaleldin Taifour (43'), Abdelgader (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bolingi (90+3')
Bolingi (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sudan and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

Last Six:

Last Game: Sudan 2-1 Congo DR
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Gabon vs. Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Congo DR

Last Six:

Last Game: Sudan 2-1 Congo DR
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Congo DR vs. Mauritania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Sudan had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Sudan win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Sudan	Draw	Congo DR
31.99% ( -0.01)	28.15% ( 0.02)	39.86% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.82% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.79% (

-0.08)

59.21% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.36% (

-0.06)

79.63% (

0.06)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.95% (

-0.05)

34.05% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27% (

-0.06)

70.73% (

0.06)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98% (

-0.04)

29.02% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08% (

-0.06)

64.92% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Sudan 31.99%

Congo DR 39.86%

Draw 28.15%

Sudan	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.99%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.15%	0-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 39.86%