Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 1pm UK

Congo DR
3 - 1
Mauritania

Kakuta (37'), Bakambu (42'), Masuaku (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Abeid (55')

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Congo DR and Mauritania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Congo DR
Sunday, January 22 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.26%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Mauritania
57.03% ( -0.16)	28.33% ( 0.16)	14.63% ( -0)

Both teams to score 30.52% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.07% (

-0.36)

70.93% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.18% (

-0.22)

87.82% (

0.22)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

-0.24)

25.98% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39% (

-0.33)

61% (

0.32)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.23% (

-0.22)

58.76% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.99% (

-0.12)

90% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 57.02%

Mauritania 14.63%

Draw 28.32%

Congo DR	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 20.57% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 57.02%	0-0 @ 15.26% ( 0.19) 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 28.32%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.63%