Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 1pm UK

Congo DR
3 - 1
Mauritania

Kakuta (37'), Bakambu (42'), Masuaku (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Abeid (55')

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Congo DR and Mauritania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Congo DR (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, November 16 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Next Game: Congo DR vs. Benin
Tuesday, December 23 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Mauritania

All competitions

Last Game: Libya 1-0 Mauritania
Saturday, November 15 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.26%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Mauritania
57.03% ( -0.16)	28.33% ( 0.16)	14.63% ( -0)

Both teams to score 30.52% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.07% (

-0.36)

70.93% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.18% (

-0.22)

87.82% (

0.22)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

-0.24)

25.98% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39% (

-0.33)

61% (

0.32)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.23% (

-0.22)

58.76% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.99% (

-0.12)

90% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 57.02%

Mauritania 14.63%

Draw 28.32%

Congo DR	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 20.57% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 57.02%	0-0 @ 15.26% ( 0.19) 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 28.32%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.63%