Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gael Kakuta 37' goal
  • Cedric Bakambu 42' goal
  • Arthur Masuaku 67' goal
  • goal Aly Abeid 55'

Congo DR vs Mauritania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 8, 2022 8.00pm
Sudan 2 - 1 Congo DR

Mauritania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 8, 2022 5.00pm
Gabon 0 - 0 Mauritania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.26%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.

Result

Congo DR 57.03% (-0.16)
Draw 28.33% (+0.16)
Mauritania 14.63% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

30.52% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 29.07% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 70.93% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 12.18% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 87.82% (+0.22)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 74.02% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 25.98% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 39% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 61% (+0.33)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5 41.23% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 58.76% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 9.99% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 90% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Congo DR 57.02%
Draw 28.32%
Mauritania 14.63%
Congo DR
1-0 @ 20.57% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 13.86% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 57.02%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.26% (+0.19)
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 1.96% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 28.32%
Mauritania
0-1 @ 8.12% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 2.91% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.63%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Jan 14, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Polokwane
  • Firmin Ndombe Mubele 35' yellowcard
  • Mavuanga Mbidi 39' yellowcard
  • Eddy Emomo 51' goal
  • yellowcard Moussa Sidi Bagayoko 14'
  • yellowcard Amar Djiby Samb 17'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Wade 51'
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Gueye 52'
  • redcard Moussa Sidi Bagayoko 73'