Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 4, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Olympique de Nouakchott
  • Yali Dellahi 19' yellowcard
  • Aboubakar Kamara 27' goal
  • Aboubakar Kamara 30' goal
  • Aboubakar Kamara 67' yellowcard
  • Abdallahi Mahmoud 77' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Abdelgader 18'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Abdel Rahman 26'

Mauritania vs Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

Sudan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Sudan had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Sudan win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.

Result

Mauritania 47.56% (-0.06)
Draw 25.78% (-0.02)
Sudan 26.65% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.9% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.37% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 52.63% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 25.72% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 74.27% (-0.09)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5 77.87% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.13% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.49% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.5% (-0.03)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 65.37% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 34.62% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 28.64% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 71.35% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Mauritania 47.55%
Draw 25.78%
Sudan 26.65%
Mauritania
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.24% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.65% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 47.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.78%
Sudan
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.5% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 26.65%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Jan 17, 2018 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Omer Koko 14' yellowcard
  • Walaa Eldin Mohamed 30' goal
  • Maaz Gismalla 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sidi N'Gara 42'
  • yellowcard Oumar Mangane 87'