International Friendly
Mar 29, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya
Mauritania2 - 0Libya
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Mauritania and Libya.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gabon 0-0 Mauritania
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Congo DR vs. Mauritania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Libya
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Tunisia vs. Libya
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Libya had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Libya win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Libya |
| 39.38% | 23.91% | 36.71% |
| Both teams to score 61.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
