International Friendly

Aug 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya

Mauritania
1 - 0
Mali

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Mauritania and Mali.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

Last Six:

Last Game: Gabon 0-0 Mauritania
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Mauritania vs. Mali
Thursday, August 18 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Mali

Last Six:

Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Mauritania vs. Mali
Thursday, August 18 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Mali
30.76% ( -0.25)	27.81% ( -0.03)	41.43% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 47.36% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.67% (

0.02)

58.33% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.05% (

0.01)

78.95% (

-0.01)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52% (

-0.17)

34.47% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81% (

-0.19)

71.19% (

0.19)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.28% (

0.16)

27.71% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.72% (

0.2)

63.28% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 30.76%

Mali 41.43%

Draw 27.8%

Mauritania	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 30.76%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 41.43%