Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 9, 2022 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Valentino Yuel 28' yellowcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 29' goal
  • Data Elly Lokosang Christopher 30' yellowcard
  • Ramadan John Mayik 83' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Camara 59'
  • redcard Ibrahima Kone 78'
  • goal Sekou Koita 90'+3'
  • goal Aliou Dieng 90'+5'

South Sudan vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Sudan

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 4, 2022 5.00pm
Gambia 1 - 0 South Sudan

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 4, 2022 8.00pm
Mali 4 - 0 Congo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for South Sudan had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest South Sudan win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Mali in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mali.

Result

South Sudan 27.38% (+0.02)
Draw 25.09% (+0.01)
Mali 47.53% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.63%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.66% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 49.34% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.61% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 71.39% (+0.01)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 67.7% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.3% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.2% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.8% (-0.01)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 79.22% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.78% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 46.56% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 53.44% (+0.02)

Score analysis

South Sudan 27.38%
Draw 25.08%
Mali 47.52%
South Sudan
1-0 @ 7.59% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.74% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.29% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.54% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.08%
Mali
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.52%