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Senegal national football team
African Nations Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jan 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Mauritania national football team

Senegal
1 - 0
Mauritania

Camara (34' pen.)
Ndiaye (19'), Ndiaye (19'), Sane (51'), Diouf (57'), Kane (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beibou (30'), Mouhsine (47'), Mheimid (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's African Nations Championship clash between Senegal and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Congo DR
Sunday, January 22 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Mauritania

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Mali
Tuesday, January 24 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Senegal 1-0 Mauritania

 Only Algeria have recorded more clean sheets than Senegal and Mauritania at the 2023 CHAN, so we expect a low-scoring affair here. That said, we can also see Senegal getting the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 6.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.52%) and 3-0 (12.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.72%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 19% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match.

Result
SenegalDrawMauritania
75.43%18.35%6.22%
Both teams to score 27.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22%58.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7%79.3%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8%14.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09%41.91%
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.53%68.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.6%94.4%
Score Analysis
    Senegal 75.42%
    Mauritania 6.22%
    Draw 18.35%
SenegalDrawMauritania
1-0 @ 18.97%
2-0 @ 18.52%
3-0 @ 12.05%
2-1 @ 7.02%
4-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 4.57%
5-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 2.23%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 75.42%
0-0 @ 9.72%
1-1 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 18.35%
0-1 @ 3.68%
1-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 6.22%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group B vs 1st position Group D

1st ranked Group B
85.0%
Draw
15.0%
1st position Group D
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2020 8pm
Friendlies 1
Senegal
P-P
Mauritania
rhs 2.0
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