Ecuador vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.