Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Ecuador
50.49% ( 0.3)	22.89% ( 0.03)	26.62% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 60.4% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.89% (

-0.42)

40.1% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.53% (

-0.44)

62.47% (

0.44)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.94% (

-0.05)

16.06% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.57% (

-0.09)

45.43% (

0.09)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

-0.46)

28.04% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31% (

-0.59)

63.69% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 50.49%

Ecuador 26.62%

Draw 22.89%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Ecuador
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 50.49%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.89%	1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.65% Total : 26.62%