World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

Guangxi Sports Center

China
1 - 1
Saudi Arabia

Zhu (82' pen.)
Junmin (24'), Zhu (39'), Dabao (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Al-Shehri (45+1')
Al Amri (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

Last Game: Oman 2-0 China
Tuesday, March 29 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Saudi Arabia

Last Six:

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Colombia
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Venezuela
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	2	4	6
2	Saudi Arabia	2	0	3
3	Russia	2	-1	3
4	Egypt	2	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
China	Draw	Saudi Arabia
37.41%	25.27%	37.32%

Both teams to score 56.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11%

46.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.86%

69.14%

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39%

24.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.89%

59.11%

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35%

24.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.82%

59.17%

Score Analysis

China 37.41%

Saudi Arabia 37.32%

Draw 25.27%

China	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 0.98% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.41%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.32%