World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Feb 1, 2022 10.14am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ko Itakura 21' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 32' goal
  • Junya Ito 50' goal
  • yellowcard Ali Albulayhi 4'
  • yellowcard Hattan Babhir 74'

Japan vs Saudi Arabia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Jan 27, 2022 10.01am
Japan 2 - 0 China

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Jan 27, 2022 5.15pm
Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Oman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result

Japan 54.57%
Draw 23.33%
Saudi Arabia 22.1%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.74%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.45%
Under 2.5 46.55%
Over 3.5 31.17%
Under 3.5 68.83%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 83.05%
Under 0.5 16.95%
Over 1.5 52.97%
Under 1.5 47.03%

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5 64.71%
Under 0.5 35.29%
Over 1.5 27.95%
Under 1.5 72.05%

Score analysis

Japan 54.57%
Draw 23.32%
Saudi Arabia 22.1%
Japan
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 9.42%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.58%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 54.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05%
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.32%
Saudi Arabia
0-1 @ 6.23%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.1%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 7, 2021 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Firas Albirakan 71' goal