World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Feb 1, 2022 at 10.14am UK

Japan
2 - 0
Saudi Arabia

Minamino (32'), Ito (50')
Itakura (21')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Albulayhi (4'), Babhir (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Saudi Arabia
54.57%	23.33%	22.1%

Both teams to score 53.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.45%

46.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.17%

68.83%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.05%

16.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.97%

47.03%

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.71%

35.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.95%

72.05%

Score Analysis

Japan 54.57%

Saudi Arabia 22.1%

Draw 23.32%

Japan	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 5.81% 3-0 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.34% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.57%	1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 5.98% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.32%	0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.1%

How you voted: Japan vs Saudi Arabia

Japan

71.3%

Draw

13.1%

Saudi Arabia

15.6%