World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Jan 27, 2022 at 10.01am UK

Japan
2 - 0
China

Osako (13' pen.), Ito (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lei (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for China had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest China win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	China
42.19%	25.25%	32.55%

Both teams to score 56.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.46%

47.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.25%

69.74%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.54%

22.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44%

55.99%

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24%

27.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.66%

63.33%

Score Analysis

Japan 42.19%

China 32.55%

Draw 25.25%

Japan	Draw	China
1-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.19%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.55%

How you voted: Japan vs China

Japan

73.5%

Draw

10.3%

China

16.2%