World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 12, 2021 at 11.14am UK

Japan
2 - 1
Australia

Tanaka (8'), Behich (85' og.)
Morita (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hrustic (70')
Behich (63'), Souttar (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Japan had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Japan win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Japan	Draw	Australia
34.85%	24.13%	41.01%

Both teams to score 60.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.17%

41.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.77%

64.23%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32%

23.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21%

57.78%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43%

20.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.9%

53.1%

Score Analysis

Japan 34.85%

Australia 41.01%

Draw 24.13%

Japan	Draw	Australia
2-1 @ 7.99% 1-0 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.85%	1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 8.77% 0-1 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.87% Total : 41.01%

How you voted: Japan vs Australia

Japan

32.0%

Draw

11.3%

Australia

56.7%