World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 12, 2021 11.14am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ao Tanaka 8' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 68' yellowcard
  • Aziz Behich 85' goal
  • yellowcard Aziz Behich 63'
  • goal Ajdin Hrustic 70'
  • yellowcard Harry Souttar 90'+3'

Japan vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Oct 7, 2021 6.00pm
Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Japan

Australia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Oct 7, 2021 7.30pm
Australia 3 - 1 Oman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Japan had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Japan win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result

Japan 34.85%
Draw 24.13%
Australia 41.01%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.62%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.17%
Under 2.5 41.83%
Over 3.5 35.77%
Under 3.5 64.23%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 76.32%
Under 0.5 23.68%
Over 1.5 42.21%
Under 1.5 57.78%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 79.43%
Under 0.5 20.57%
Over 1.5 46.9%
Under 1.5 53.1%

Score analysis

Japan 34.85%
Draw 24.13%
Australia 41.01%
Japan
2-1 @ 7.99%
1-0 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.13%
Australia
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-1 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 4.62%
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 3.21%
1-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 41.01%