World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 7, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Australia
3 - 1
Oman

Mabil (9'), Boyle (49'), Duke (89')
Grant (31'), Irvine (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Al Alawi (28')
Al Alawi (39'), Al-Busaidi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Oman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Oman had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Oman win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
Australia	Draw	Oman
45.01%	22.73%	32.26%

Both teams to score 64.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.21%

35.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.14%

57.85%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.57%

16.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.89%

46.1%

Oman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73%

22.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.28%

55.71%

Score Analysis

Australia 45.01%

Oman 32.26%

Draw 22.73%

Australia	Draw	Oman
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-2 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.63% Total : 45.01%	1-1 @ 9.93% 2-2 @ 6.73% 0-0 @ 3.66% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 7.45% 0-1 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.35% Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Australia vs Oman

Australia

88.4%

Draw

8.0%

Oman

3.6%