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Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 7, 2021 at 6pm UK
 
Japan national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Japan

Albirakan (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawJapan
46.63%22.42%30.95%
Both teams to score 65.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.09%34.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.11%56.89%
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5%15.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61%44.39%
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41%22.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8%56.2%
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 46.63%
    Japan 30.95%
    Draw 22.42%
Saudi ArabiaDrawJapan
2-1 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 6.53%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 5.63%
3-2 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.78%
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-2 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 0.98%
4-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 46.63%
1-1 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.5%
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 30.95%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Japan

Saudi Arabia
26.9%
Draw
12.7%
Japan
60.4%
134
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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