World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 15, 2021 at 11.25am UK

Japan
5 - 1
Kyrgyzstan

Onaiwu (27' pen., 31', 33'), Sasaki (72'), Asano (77')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Murzaev (45+2' pen.)
Akmatov (26'), Sukurov (75'), Musabekov (86')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Japan and Kyrgyzstan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 20.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
56.51%	23.21%	20.28%

Both teams to score 51.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.75%

48.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.6%

70.4%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.13%

16.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.11%

46.89%

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.93%

38.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.17%

74.83%

Score Analysis

Japan 56.49%

Kyrgyzstan 20.28%

Draw 23.21%

Japan	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
1-0 @ 11.42% 2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 5.83% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 0.96% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.01% Total : 56.49%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.21%	0-1 @ 6.2% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.54% Total : 20.28%