World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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Kyogo Furuhashi
6'
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Takumi Minamino
40'
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Kento Hashimoto
51'
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Kyogo Furuhashi
64'
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Kento Hashimoto
66'
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Hayao Kawabe
71'
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Ehsoni Panshanbe
9'
Japan vs Tajikistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Tajikistan had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Tajikistan win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
Result
Japan
62.32%
Draw
23.1%
Tajikistan
14.58%
Both Teams to Score:
41.29%
Goals
Over 2.5
43.8%
Under 2.5
56.19%
Over 3.5
22.75%
Under 3.5
77.24%
Japan Goals
Over 0.5
82.33%
Under 0.5
17.66%
Over 1.5
51.71%
Under 1.5
48.28%
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5
50.15%
Under 0.5
49.84%
Over 1.5
15.45%
Under 1.5
84.55%
Score analysis
Japan
62.31%
Draw
23.1%
Tajikistan
14.58%
Japan
1-0
@
15.26%
2-0 @ 13.23%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 5.32%
4-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 1.85%
5-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 62.31%
2-0 @ 13.23%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 5.32%
4-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 1.85%
5-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 62.31%
Draw
1-1
@
10.62%
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 23.1%
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 23.1%
Tajikistan
0-1
@
6.13%
1-2 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 14.58%
1-2 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 14.58%