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Japan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 7, 2021 at 11.30am UK
 
Tajikistan national football team

Japan
4 - 1
Tajikistan

Furuhashi (6'), Minamino (40'), Hashimoto (51'), Kawabe (71')
Furuhashi (64'), Hashimoto (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Panshanbe (9')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Japan and Tajikistan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Tajikistan had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Tajikistan win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
JapanDrawTajikistan
62.32%23.1%14.58%
Both teams to score 41.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8%56.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75%77.24%
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33%17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.71%48.28%
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.15%49.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.45%84.55%
Score Analysis
    Japan 62.31%
    Tajikistan 14.58%
    Draw 23.1%
JapanDrawTajikistan
1-0 @ 15.26%
2-0 @ 13.23%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 5.32%
4-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 1.85%
5-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 62.31%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 23.1%
0-1 @ 6.13%
1-2 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 14.58%

How you voted: Japan vs Tajikistan

Japan
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Tajikistan
0.0%
10