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World Cup

China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 4pm UK
Guangxi Sports Center
Japan national football team

China
0 - 1
Japan


Xi (67'), Aloisio (69'), Wang (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osako (40')
Ito (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Japan had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
ChinaDrawJapan
48.97%23.4%27.63%
Both teams to score 59.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28%41.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88%64.11%
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78%17.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5%47.5%
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85%28.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16%63.83%
Score Analysis
    China 48.97%
    Japan 27.63%
    Draw 23.39%
ChinaDrawJapan
2-1 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 2.45%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 48.97%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-1 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.65%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.63%

How you voted: China vs Japan

China
17.0%
Draw
15.1%
Japan
67.9%
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