World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 12, 2021 at 6pm UK

Saudi Arabia
3 - 2
China

Al Naji (15', 38'), Albirakan (72')
Al-Malki (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Guofu (46'), Xi (87')
Li (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for China had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest China win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	China
40.51%	23.06%	36.43%

Both teams to score 64.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.72%

36.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.6%

58.41%

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.55%

18.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.36%

49.64%

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68%

20.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.29%

52.71%

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 40.51%

China 36.43%

Draw 23.06%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	China
2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.7% Total : 40.51%	1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 6.8% 0-0 @ 3.75% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.43%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs China

Saudi Arabia

74.7%

Draw

8.4%

China

16.9%