World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2021 at 6pm UK

Guangxi Sports Center

China
5 - 0
Maldives

Binbin (5'), Lei (30'), Carvalho (68'), Zhang (69'), Long (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Samooh (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Maldives, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Maldives had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Maldives win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China would win this match.

Result
China	Draw	Maldives
58.43%	23.73%	17.84%

Both teams to score 45.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.47%

53.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96%

75.04%

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.91%

18.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.98%

49.02%

Maldives Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.11%

43.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.97%

80.02%

Score Analysis

China 58.43%

Maldives 17.84%

Draw 23.72%

China	Draw	Maldives
1-0 @ 13.57% 2-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 5.45% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 2.24% 5-0 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.43%	1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 6.54% 1-2 @ 4.6% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.66% Total : 17.84%

How you voted: China vs Maldives

China

73.3%

Draw

0.0%

Maldives

26.7%