World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 15, 2021 at 7pm UK

Saudi Arabia
3 - 0
Uzbekistan

Al-Faraj (25', 33'), Al Hassan (52')
Al-Faraj (67'), Al-Muwallad (90+2'), Abdullah Abdul Hamid (90+4'), Al-Ghanam (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Shukurov (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Uzbekistan
45.31%	23.23%	31.46%

Both teams to score 62.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.41%

38.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.11%

60.89%

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58%

17.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.14%

47.85%

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91%

24.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.63%

58.37%

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 45.31%

Uzbekistan 31.46%

Draw 23.22%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Uzbekistan
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 5.31% 3-2 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 4.02% Total : 45.31%	1-1 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 4.19% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 7.43% 0-1 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.46%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Uzbekistan

Saudi Arabia

69.2%

Draw

15.4%

Uzbekistan