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World Cup

China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Guangxi Sports Center
Australia national football team

China
1 - 1
Australia

Lei (71' pen.)
Aloisio (41'), Zhang (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Duke (38')
Hrustic (50'), Degenek (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for China had a probability of 37.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest China win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
ChinaDrawAustralia
37.49%24.64%37.88%
Both teams to score 59.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07%43.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68%66.32%
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78%23.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87%57.13%
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98%23.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17%56.83%
Score Analysis
    China 37.49%
    Australia 37.88%
    Draw 24.63%
ChinaDrawAustralia
2-1 @ 8.37%
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.49%
1-1 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-1 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.88%

How you voted: China vs Australia

China
15.2%
Draw
6.3%
Australia
78.5%
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