World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 29, 2022 at 7pm UK

Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Australia

Al-Dawsari (65' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

Last Six:

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Colombia
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Venezuela
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	2	4	6
2	Saudi Arabia	2	0	3
3	Russia	2	-1	3
4	Egypt	2	-3	0

Australia

Last Six:

Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Australia vs. New Zealand
Sunday, September 25 at 4am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	2	7
2	Denmark	3	1	5
3	Peru	3	0	3
4	Australia	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Australia
37.31%	24.72%	37.97%

Both teams to score 58.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67%

44.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29%

66.7%

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5%

23.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47%

57.52%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85%

23.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97%

57.02%

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 37.31%

Australia 37.97%

Draw 24.71%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Australia
2-1 @ 8.35% 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.31%	1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.97%