World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Jan 27, 2022 at 9.10am UK

Australia
4 - 0
Vietnam

MacLaren (30'), Rogic (45+2'), Goodwin (72'), McGree (77')
Leckie (45')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Manh Pham (24'), Duc Phan (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Vietnam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
Australia	Draw	Vietnam
48.79%	24.85%	26.36%

Both teams to score 53.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.95%

49.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87%

71.12%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86%

20.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59%

52.4%

Vietnam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04%

32.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46%

69.53%

Score Analysis

Australia 48.78%

Vietnam 26.36%

Draw 24.85%

Australia	Draw	Vietnam
1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.78%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 7.36% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.47% Total : 26.36%

How you voted: Australia vs Vietnam

Australia

73.0%

Draw

12.2%

Vietnam

14.9%