World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 24, 2022 at 9.10am UK

Australia
0 - 2
Japan

Metcalfe (15'), Stensness (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitoma (89', 90+4')
Nagatomo (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

Last Six:

Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Australia vs. New Zealand
Sunday, September 25 at 4am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	2	7
2	Denmark	3	1	5
3	Peru	3	0	3
4	Australia	3	-3	1

Japan

Last Six:

Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Germany vs. Japan
Wednesday, November 23 at 1pm in World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	3	5	7
2	Chile	3	4	6
3	Japan	3	-4	2
4	Ecuador	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Australia had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Japan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Japan.

Result
Australia	Draw	Japan
30.36%	25.2%	44.43%

Both teams to score 55.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.82%

48.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.66%

70.33%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47%

29.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.45%

65.55%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32%

21.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.17%

54.82%

Score Analysis

Australia 30.36%

Japan 44.43%

Draw 25.2%

Australia	Draw	Japan
1-0 @ 7.81% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.36%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.43%