World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 24, 2022 9.10am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Metcalfe 15' yellowcard
  • Gianni Stensness 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuto Nagatomo 10'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 89'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 90'+4'

Australia vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Feb 1, 2022 4.00pm
Oman 2 - 2 Australia

Japan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Feb 1, 2022 10.14am
Japan 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Australia had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Japan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Japan.

Result

Australia 30.36%
Draw 25.2%
Japan 44.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.19%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.82%
Under 2.5 48.18%
Over 3.5 29.66%
Under 3.5 70.33%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 70.47%
Under 0.5 29.53%
Over 1.5 34.45%
Under 1.5 65.55%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 78.32%
Under 0.5 21.68%
Over 1.5 45.17%
Under 1.5 54.82%

Score analysis

Australia 30.36%
Draw 25.2%
Japan 44.43%
Australia
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 4.76%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 30.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.2%
Japan
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 7.48%
1-3 @ 4.65%
0-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.43%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 12, 2021 11.14am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ao Tanaka 8' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 68' yellowcard
  • Aziz Behich 85' goal
  • yellowcard Aziz Behich 63'
  • goal Ajdin Hrustic 70'
  • yellowcard Harry Souttar 90'+3'