Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.