Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.