Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.88%) and 3-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.61%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.