World Cup Qualifying - South America
Mar 24, 2022 11.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Diaz 39' goal
  • Juan Cuadrado 68' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 72' goal
  • Mateus Uribe 90' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Haquin 12'
  • yellowcard Jhon Garcia 57'
  • yellowcard Jose Maria Carrasco 58'
  • yellowcard Marc Enoumba 69'

Colombia vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Feb 1, 2022 11.30pm
Argentina 1 - 0 Colombia

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Feb 1, 2022 8.30pm
Bolivia 2 - 3 Chile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.88%) and 3-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.61%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result

Colombia 67.31%
Draw 23.3%
Bolivia 9.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

28.35%

Goals

Over 2.5 34.23%
Under 2.5 65.77%
Over 3.5 15.57%
Under 3.5 84.43%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 80.52%
Under 0.5 19.48%
Over 1.5 48.66%
Under 1.5 51.34%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5 35.21%
Under 0.5 64.79%
Over 1.5 7.09%
Under 1.5 92.91%

Score analysis

Colombia 67.3%
Draw 23.29%
Bolivia 9.39%
Colombia
1-0 @ 20.64%
2-0 @ 16.88%
3-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 4%
4-0 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 1.64%
5-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 67.3%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.61%
1-1 @ 8.96%
2-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.29%
Bolivia
0-1 @ 5.48%
1-2 @ 1.94%
0-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 9.39%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 2, 2021 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adrian Jusino 27' yellowcard
  • Moises Villarroel 62' yellowcard
  • Fernando Saucedo 83' goal
  • Carmelo Algaranaz 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Carmelo Algaranaz 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Munoz 45'+2'
  • goal Roger Martinez 69'