World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2022 at 11.30pm UK

colombia

Colombia
3 - 0
Bolivia

Diaz (39'), Borja (72'), Uribe (90')
Cuadrado (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Haquin (12'), Garcia (57'), Maria Carrasco (58'), Enoumba (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

Last Six:

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Colombia
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Bolivia

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolivia 0-4 Brazil
Wednesday, March 30 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.88%) and 3-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.61%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Bolivia
67.31%	23.3%	9.39%

Both teams to score 28.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.23%

65.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.57%

84.43%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52%

19.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66%

51.34%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.21%

64.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.09%

92.91%

Score Analysis

Colombia 67.3%

Bolivia 9.39%

Draw 23.29%

Colombia	Draw	Bolivia
1-0 @ 20.64% 2-0 @ 16.88% 3-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 4% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 1.64% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.61% Total : 67.3%	0-0 @ 12.61% 1-1 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.29%	0-1 @ 5.48% 1-2 @ 1.94% 0-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.78% Total : 9.39%