World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Jan 28, 2022 at 10pm UK

Venezuela
4 - 1
Bolivia

Rondon (24', 34', 67'), Machis (55')
Casseres Jr (80')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Miranda (38')
Sagredo (45')
Justiniano (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Venezuela and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.

Result
Venezuela	Draw	Bolivia
57.15%	24.3%	18.55%

Both teams to score 45.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.31%

54.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.99%

76.01%

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81%

19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.44%

50.56%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.29%

43.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.12%

79.88%

Score Analysis

Venezuela 57.15%

Bolivia 18.55%

Draw 24.29%

Venezuela	Draw	Bolivia
1-0 @ 13.79% 2-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 5.25% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.96% Total : 57.15%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.29%	0-1 @ 6.87% 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.85% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.55%

How you voted: Venezuela vs Bolivia

Venezuela

31.2%

Draw

17.4%

Bolivia

51.4%