Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.58%) and 3-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.