Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Malta had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Malta win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.