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World Cup

Russia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Malta national football team

Russia
2 - 0
Malta

Smolov (10'), Bakaev (84' pen.)
Miranchuk (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Borg (68'), Camenzuli (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Russia and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Malta had a probability of 18.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
RussiaDrawMalta
58.03%23.14%18.83%
Both teams to score 49.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.1%49.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.11%71.9%
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08%16.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.02%46.99%
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.4%40.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8%77.2%
Score Analysis
    Russia 58.03%
    Malta 18.83%
    Draw 23.14%
RussiaDrawMalta
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 5.79%
4-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 2.57%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 58.03%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 6.87%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.19%
1-2 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.79%
1-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.83%

How you voted: Russia vs Malta

Russia
92.6%
Draw
3.7%
Malta
3.7%
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