World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Nov 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Malta
1 - 7
Croatia

Brozovic (31' og.)
Pepe (79')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Perisic (6'), Caleta-Car (22'), Pasalic (39'), Modric (45+1'), Majer (47', 64'), Kramaric (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Malta and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Malta had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
Malta	Draw	Croatia
21.2%	23.44%	55.36%

Both teams to score 52.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.92%

48.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.76%

70.24%

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.97%

37.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.19%

73.81%

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78%

17.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.49%

47.51%

Score Analysis

Malta 21.2%

Croatia 55.35%

Draw 23.44%

Malta	Draw	Croatia
1-0 @ 6.33% 2-1 @ 5.54% 2-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.2%	1-1 @ 11.14% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 11.21% 0-2 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 5.75% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-4 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 2.53% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.76% Total : 55.35%

How you voted: Malta vs Croatia

Malta

6.9%

Draw

5.7%

Croatia

87.4%