Malta vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Malta had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.