World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Croatia3 - 0Malta
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 85.42%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 4.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.89%) and 4-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.88%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (1.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Malta |
| 85.42% | 10.26% | 4.32% |
| Both teams to score 40.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
