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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog.png)
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Ivan Perisic
62'
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Luka Modric
76'
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Domagoj Vida
81'
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Josip Brekalo
90'
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Nikola Vlasic
90'+2'
Croatia vs Malta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 85.42%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 4.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.89%) and 4-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.88%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (1.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
Result
Croatia
85.42%
Draw
10.26%
Malta
4.32%
Both Teams to Score:
40.28%
Goals
Over 2.5
68.16%
Under 2.5
31.84%
Over 3.5
46.6%
Under 3.5
53.39%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
94.82%
Under 0.5
5.18%
Over 1.5
79.48%
Under 1.5
20.51%
Malta Goals
Over 0.5
42.48%
Under 0.5
57.52%
Over 1.5
10.67%
Under 1.5
89.33%
Score analysis
Croatia
85.41%
Draw
10.26%
Malta
4.32%
Croatia
2-0
@
13.06%
3-0 @ 12.89%
4-0 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 7.13%
5-0 @ 5.66%
4-1 @ 5.28%
5-1 @ 3.13%
6-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 1.97%
6-1 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.46%
7-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 85.41%
3-0 @ 12.89%
4-0 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 7.13%
5-0 @ 5.66%
4-1 @ 5.28%
5-1 @ 3.13%
6-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 1.97%
6-1 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.46%
7-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 85.41%
Draw
1-1
@
4.88%
0-0 @ 2.98%
2-2 @ 2%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 10.26%
0-0 @ 2.98%
2-2 @ 2%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 10.26%
Malta
0-1
@
1.65%
1-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 4.32%
1-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 4.32%
Steve Borg
31'