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World Cup

Croatia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Malta national football team

Croatia
3 - 0
Malta

Perisic (62'), Modric (76' pen.), Brekalo (90')
Vida (81'), Vlasic (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Croatia and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 85.42%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 4.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.89%) and 4-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.88%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (1.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
CroatiaDrawMalta
85.42%10.26%4.32%
Both teams to score 40.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.16%31.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.6%53.39%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.82%5.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.48%20.51%
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.48%57.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.67%89.33%
Score Analysis
    Croatia 85.41%
    Malta 4.32%
    Draw 10.26%
CroatiaDrawMalta
2-0 @ 13.06%
3-0 @ 12.89%
4-0 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 7.13%
5-0 @ 5.66%
4-1 @ 5.28%
5-1 @ 3.13%
6-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 1.97%
6-1 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.46%
7-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 85.41%
1-1 @ 4.88%
0-0 @ 2.98%
2-2 @ 2%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 10.26%
0-1 @ 1.65%
1-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 4.32%