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World Cup

Croatia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Cyprus national football team

Croatia
1 - 0
Cyprus

Pasalic (40')
Caleta-Car (48'), Perisic (69'), Kovacic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

'Nikos' Kostenoglou (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Croatia and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Croatia in this match.

Result
CroatiaDrawCyprus
61.52%21.4%17.08%
Both teams to score 51.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72%45.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38%67.62%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8%14.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09%41.91%
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.09%39.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.43%76.58%
Score Analysis
    Croatia 61.51%
    Cyprus 17.08%
    Draw 21.4%
CroatiaDrawCyprus
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 6.45%
4-0 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-2 @ 1.45%
5-0 @ 1.34%
5-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 61.51%
1-1 @ 10.16%
0-0 @ 5.67%
2-2 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.4%
0-1 @ 5.21%
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2%
Total : 17.08%