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World Cup

Slovenia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Stožice
Croatia national football team

Slovenia
1 - 0
Croatia

Lovric (15')
Kurtic (61'), Mevlja (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barisic (24'), Brozovic (35'), Vrsaljko (65'), Vida (68'), Budimir (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup qualifier between Slovenia and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slovenia in this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawCroatia
42.55%26.72%30.73%
Both teams to score 50.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72%54.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33%75.67%
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75%25.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40%60%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62%32.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1%68.9%
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 42.55%
    Croatia 30.73%
    Draw 26.72%
SloveniaDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.75%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 42.55%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.22%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 5.2%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.73%