UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Croatia national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
France national football team

Croatia
1 - 2
France

Vlasic (64')
Vlasic (5'), Uremovic (57'), Lovren (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Griezmann (8'), Mbappe (79')
Digne (5'), Pogba (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Croatia and France, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for France had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
CroatiaDrawFrance
39.38%27.12%33.5%
Both teams to score 50.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89%55.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64%76.36%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22%62.78%
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1%30.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81%67.19%
Score Analysis
    Croatia 39.38%
    France 33.5%
    Draw 27.12%
CroatiaDrawFrance
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 8.35%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.38%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.5%