Croatia vs Slovakia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.