World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Cyprus
0 - 3
Croatia

Artymatas (33'), Avraam (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Perisic (45+2'), Gvardiol (80'), Livaja (90+2')
Kovacic (33'), Stanisic (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Cyprus and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	Croatia
26.35%	25.05%	48.6%

Both teams to score 52.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14%

49.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.14%

71.85%

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61%

33.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.99%

70.01%

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46%

20.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.95%

53.05%

Score Analysis

Cyprus 26.35%

Croatia 48.59%

Draw 25.04%

Cyprus	Draw	Croatia
1-0 @ 7.52% 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.35%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-2 @ 8.59% 1-3 @ 4.97% 0-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.79% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.66% Total : 48.59%