World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Sep 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Slovakia
0 - 1
Croatia

Pekarik (38'), Bozenik (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brozovic (86')
Ivusic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Slovakia and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Croatia in this match.

Result
Slovakia	Draw	Croatia
35.94%	25.99%	38.07%

Both teams to score 54.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.84%

50.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.88%

72.12%

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04%

26.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7%

62.3%

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25%

25.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32%

60.68%

Score Analysis

Slovakia 35.94%

Croatia 38.07%

Draw 25.99%

Slovakia	Draw	Croatia
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.94%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.07%

How you voted: Slovakia vs Croatia

Slovakia

19.8%

Draw

14.7%

Croatia

65.5%