Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 18, 2021 at 2pm UK

Sweden
1 - 0
Slovakia

Forsberg (77' pen.)
Olsson (23')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dubravka (76'), Duda (80'), Weiss (87')

Reaction

Sweden coach Janne Andersson applauds fans after the match on June 14, 2021

Janne Andersson ignores criticism over Sweden's style of play

Emil Forsberg's penalty settled the match in Sweden's favour.

Jun 18, 16:25

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sweden in this match.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Slovakia
43.26%	26.23%	30.51%

Both teams to score 51.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.59%

52.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.91%

74.09%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94%

24.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66%

58.34%

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.42%

31.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.02%

67.98%

Score Analysis

Sweden 43.26%

Slovakia 30.51%

Draw 26.23%

Sweden	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.26%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 8.76% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.51%