European Championship
Jun 14, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • yellowcard Mikael Lustig 55'

Spain vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Sweden

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Spain 50.12%
Draw 23.57%
Sweden 26.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.72%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.48%
Under 2.5 43.52%
Over 3.5 34.09%
Under 3.5 65.91%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 82.53%
Under 0.5 17.46%
Over 1.5 52.06%
Under 1.5 47.93%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 69.93%
Under 0.5 30.06%
Over 1.5 33.8%
Under 1.5 66.19%

Score analysis

Spain 50.12%
Draw 23.57%
Sweden 26.31%
Spain
2-1 @ 9.61%
1-0 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 50.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 5.77%
0-0 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.57%
Sweden
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-1 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 26.31%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcus Berg 50' goal
  • Kristoffer Olsson 81' yellowcard
  • Marcus Berg 89' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Larsson 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 69'
  • yellowcard Fabian 81'
  • yellowcard Rodri 89'
  • goal Rodrigo 92'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 10, 2019 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordi Alba 24' yellowcard
  • Sergio Ramos 64' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 85' goal
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 87' goal

Build-up

Predicted Lineups