World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 25, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
  • Alvaro Morata 33' goal
  • Inigo Martinez 56' yellowcard
  • goal Anastasios Bakasetas 57'
  • yellowcard Zeca 81'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 83'

Spain vs Greece - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Greece

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Greece had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Greece win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Spain 57.07%
Draw 21.49%
Greece 21.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.01%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.88%
Under 2.5 39.12%
Over 3.5 38.55%
Under 3.5 61.45%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 86.45%
Under 0.5 13.55%
Over 1.5 59.36%
Under 1.5 40.64%

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 68.26%
Under 0.5 31.74%
Over 1.5 31.84%
Under 1.5 68.16%

Score analysis

Spain 57.07%
Draw 21.49%
Greece 21.43%
Spain
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 6.57%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 3.28%
4-0 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.31%
5-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 57.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 5.66%
0-0 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.49%
Greece
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-1 @ 4.94%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 21.43%