Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 14, 2021 at 5pm UK

National Stadium

Poland
1 - 2
Slovakia

Linetty (46')
Krychowiak (22')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Szczesny (18' og.), Skriniar (69')
Hubocan (20')

Reaction

Robert Lewandowski in action for Poland on June 8, 2021

Stefan Tarkovic hails Slovakia for nullifying Robert Lewandowski

The Poland striker could not make an impact as his side lost 2-1.

Jun 14, 21:02

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Poland	Draw	Slovakia
43.88%	25.77%	30.35%

Both teams to score 53.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.44%

50.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.52%

72.48%

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05%

22.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.27%

56.73%

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26%

30.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.99%

67.01%

Score Analysis

Poland 43.88%

Slovakia 30.35%

Draw 25.76%

Poland	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.88%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.35%