World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Fourth Round

Jun 7, 2022 at 7pm UK

UAE
1 - 2
Australia

Caio (57')
Mabkhout (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Irvine (53'), Hrustic (84')
Hrustic (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Last Six:

Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Australia vs. New Zealand
Sunday, September 25 at 4am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	2	7
2	Denmark	3	1	5
3	Peru	3	0	3
4	Australia	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Australia had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Australia in this match.

Result
United Arab Emirates	Draw	Australia
37.62% ( 0)	25.13% ( 0.01)	37.25% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.29% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.74% (

-0.03)

46.26% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.44% (

-0.03)

68.55% (

0.02)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79% (

-0.01)

24.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.45% (

-0.02)

58.55% (

0.02)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.59% (

-0.02)

24.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.17% (

-0.03)

58.83% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

United Arab Emirates 37.62%

Australia 37.25%

Draw 25.12%

United Arab Emirates	Draw	Australia
2-1 @ 8.38% 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.62%	1-1 @ 11.81% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12%	1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.25%