World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 24, 2022 at 5pm UK

Iraq
1 - 0
UAE

Ali (53')
Faez (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mabkhout (26'), Marzooq (56'), Abdalla (65'), Al Baloushi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

Last Game: Syria 1-1 Iraq
Tuesday, March 29 at 2.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

United Arab Emirates

Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Iraq win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Iraq	Draw	United Arab Emirates
25.2%	26.08%	48.72%

Both teams to score 48.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.26%

54.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.94%

76.05%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63%

37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.21%

73.79%

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5%

22.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.94%

56.05%

Score Analysis

Iraq 25.2%

United Arab Emirates 48.71%

Draw 26.07%

Iraq	Draw	United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 8.28% 2-1 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.2%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 12.41% 0-2 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-3 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 4.58% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.71%