Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for China had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest China win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.