Ecuador vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Japan had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.