Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 47.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for USA had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a USA win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	USA
47.41% ( 0.47)	26.79% ( -0.37)	25.8% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 47.32% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.05% (

1.26)

56.95% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.14% (

77.86% (

-1)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95% (

0.78)

24.05% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.68% (

1.1)

58.32% (

-1.1)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.3% (

0.62)

37.7% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.53% (

0.6)

74.47% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Japan 47.4%

USA 25.8%

Draw 26.79%

Japan	Draw	USA
1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.4%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 25.8%